Predictit takes 10% of all your winnings plus 5% of all your withdrawals. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. University officials said exchanges like PredictIt are used by research and higher education institutes to glean essential data on a variety of topics. Sites similar to predictit. . After betting big on the past two presidential elections — he lost his. org. PredictIt. High fees along with restrictions blocking automatic. And indeed, FiveThirtyEight. When Republicans and Democrats hold 50 seats each, control of the Senate is determined by the party that holds the vice presidency. 64% Ethereum. I artificially draw the line between early web and cloud simply because the cloud enabled so many other web apps to become more. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). PredictIt currently charges a 10% fee on profits made by buying and selling shares to cover the site's operating costs, and there is an $850 limit on how much of any. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Do not assume that Internet gaming sites are in compliance with the rules and regulations of every jurisdiction from which they accept players. Products. PredictIt is not a gambling site like overseas sports betting parlors Paddy Power and Betfair, which offer some betting on elections. PredictIt is operating under an academic exemption, too, but it has had to fight to retain it. [3] The company's office is located in Washington, D. Founder & CEO John Aristotle Phillips. There's a large community of open source developers that would gladly develop small modules around the Predict It data. 94% of traffic. The site has become a mainstay in virtually all. ). Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than using in general. [+] Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) fill orders shortly before the close of trading on October 28, 2015 in Chicago, Illinois. 4. One example is BetFair, which is predominantly for sports betting. DeSantis’ numbers have fallen from a peak of $0. org for free in terms of their online performance: traffic sources, organic. If the predicted outcome does not take place, the no shares are. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. The most underutilized channel is Paid Search. trustworthiness, child safety measures, traffic rank, similar websites, server location, WHOIS data, and more. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the outcome of political events and make predictions about the future. The price of Yes, as of this writing, is 10 cents. That’s the draw of a site called PredictIt, where users like Jon Kimball can place live bets on the results of elections. S. Yes. electoral-vote. The other is a similar exchange from the University of Iowa, which has been active since the mid-1990s. elections, Congress, or Supreme Court, you can find the hottest markets and see how the odds change in real time. PredictIt is also a valuable research tool for academics and journalists who want to understand how markets forecast events. 01 to $0. PredictItsites for prediction,By 2022, it had 80,000 active s, which was a combination of both casual bettors and those that took politics very seriously. Coin Prices. Betfair, which this site uses, does not have that problem; their odds add up to about 100%. To engage with some new technologies, you should try a project like sspaeti's 20 minute data engineering project. 2022 Election Predictors Show Political Gambling Market’s ‘Real Limitations’. I received a 1099-misc from PredictIt (an online politics prediction market). It’s a web site the place you possibly can place bets and win cash on political outcomes. org in terms of keyword traffic, audience targeting, and. 4, 2022, threatens to harm not only the value of modest investments of more than 80,000 PredictIt traders, but the quality of the anonymized data used by more than. The system delivers both the crowd’s prediction and, like the Delphi technique, allows forecasters to consider their own thinking in the light of other. org after the election, but I was unable to join since I don't live in. A decision on the future of Victoria University’s political betting site PredictIt remains in the balance as the Fifth Circuit court agrees to allow it to keep trading for a bit longer. PredictIt also offers political analysis and insights from its experts and community. S. While the diversity among platforms has been great for experimentation, it also fragments information, making the outputs of forecasting far. S. This does not increase if you do arbitrage. PredictIt is not a gambling site like overseas sports betting parlors Paddy Power and Betfair, which offer some betting on elections. electoral-vote. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. Most of these don’t actually process real-money trades from their members, and those that do – namely PredictIt – have been excluded from the oversight of US gambling. The political betting site PredictIt places his odds of being elected president in 2024, expressed as a share price, at 23 cents, slightly below Trump’s and well below Biden’s, but far above. $1,589. Join our Discord for discussion and help: project of Victoria University of Wellington, PredictIt has been established to facilitate research into the way markets forecast events. Saved Stories. PredictIt has long been cited as one of the more accurate predictors of. PredictIt Market Probabilities. Consequential issues, […](Disclaimers: I work in the financial industry, though not in a way related to prediction markets. org in terms of keyword traffic, audience targeting, and. PredictIt and Betfair as of Tuesday morning at 11 a. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. They’re called betting exchanges. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. Reveal predictit. PredictIt This isn’t the first time the CFTC has come down on markets like PredictIt. PredictItHave you found a working PredictIt coupon that you'd like to share? Submit it here to help millions of other shoppers save at the checkout. PredictIt had Biden leading overall at 68 cents to Trump. PredictIt has an $850 limit on any one market, for any one candidate or other potential outcome. 99 per share. Like all prediction markets, traditional or otherwise, the PredictIt shows Biden as the favorite to win. S. While markets like PredictIt meet the demand of those who want to speculate on political outcomes, they also accommodate businesses that seek to hedge against adverse consequences from such outcomes. org, you can try to predict political events and win money while doing so. ”PredictItOn average Trump gets ~5. A world-leading political predictions market led by a New Zealand university is set to close its doors after American regulators concluded it was breaching its terms of operation. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. November 14, 2022. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The Top 10 Sites Like predictit. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Free mathematical football predictions and scores for today matches. Unlike the prices in. Welcome to PredictZ! PredictZ provides free football tips and predictions, free analysis, football form and statistics, the latest results and league tables and much more. it looks like we could be in for an election week, or perhaps even longer,” he added. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Even if the CFTC follows through on its initial decision to shut the site down, it’s hard not to feel that PredictIt has, in some more. com is Direct traffic, driving 83. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. But PredictIt now faces closure after falling foul of regulators, Sam Sachdeva reports. Donald Trump 34¢. 5M shares traded. There are a few places where you can "place bets" or "buy shares" in current events such as electoral results, polling, Supreme Court decisions, etc…Other prediction markets have faced similar regulatory scrutiny. It’s a way to monetize things like 2022 midterm predictions. Find Predictit's. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). was running it; that a subsidiary of the university was receiving compensation from Aristotle, despite the university promising not to profit from the site; and that the site had reneged on its agreement to only take bets on two. BetMoose. The CFTC has also recommended rejecting the request by Kalshi. org - Top 45 predictit. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. Safety/Trust. 07:13. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. track the election with a red/blue map of the us updated daily using the latest state polls. PolyMarket is an “information markets platform” that allows traders to use the Polygon blockchain to make bets on the outcome of events. Prices for each possible result (usually. 01 to $0. Simple example of using predictit as a python library and function arguments. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Reply [-] aphyer 3y 4. Yves here. Reveal predictit. By 2016, popular markets such as the Michigan primaries alone generated more than 2 million trades, in part because prominent pundits like James Carville announced on TV that they were betting on PredictIt. NEW. PredictIt is somewhat larger and more active, with something like $1 million in its individual market, but that is still not much money in the grand scheme of things. BetOnline also has Trump at +160 but Biden at a shorter -180, with money coming in on. save. View election betting odds for those. Touch upon this story Remark In 2016, Jason Pipkin was working in a biology lab at Brandeis College, authoring papers with titles akin to “Mapping the thoughts of a fly,” when he first heard of PredictIt. PolyMarket is an “information markets platform” that allows traders to use the Polygon blockchain to make bets on the outcome of events. g. Gambling platform PredictIt has been told to shut up shop by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for failure to comply with regulations. Using artificial intelligence, predictIT automatically generates overviews and insights that helps the Project Manager to manage the project. For this reason, wagering on the site has certain restrictions, such as an $850 maximum bet limit per market. Link Copied! The US government is trying to shut down PredictIt, a website that allows gambling on US elections. TradeFair is an online trading platform that provides a secure, fast, and easy way to trade stocks, ETFs,. 2023Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). PredictIt was told to shutter in the U. YOU are responsible for determining if it is legal for YOU to play any particular game or. You can buy and sell shares of candidates and parties, and earn money if your predictions are correct. Unlike those betting sites, PredictIt operates in a similar manner to the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), offering investors the opportunity to trade predictions on the outcomes of a wide variety of political events. withdrew its permission in August 2022, and ordered the site to shut down, saying it had. PredictIt to Halt Trading in February After Regulator Pulls ‘No-Action’ Letter. Consequential issues,. January 1, 2021. Recommendation for a good international event betting site like predictit. PredictIt is a site where Americans can wager on the outcomes of political events, with an exemption from the US Government as the data is used for academic research. users that “the security of trader funds will not be affected by this action,” and that it’ll keep going until. Prices on Smarkets rate the Republicans as 65%. m. Washington, DC, 20003, United States. com election betting odds by maxim lott and john stossel live. So even though it seems like our investment costs $1. Many of PredictIt’s markets focus on political outcomes, like midterm results or the presidential race. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. Here is a look at the odds to win US President in 2024. Similar Sites & predictit. Other Things. TradeFair is an online trading platform that provides a secure, fast, and easy way to trade stocks, ETFs,. To be most effective on political betting sites like PredictIt, you need to be able to filter out the noise and seek out information. Mehmet Oz was a 63% favorite to defeat Democratic Lt. Posted on: August 4, 2022, 08:27h. Since anyone can use PredictIt, there’s no reason to think one user is better than another. Suggest an edit. PredictIt says it is not like an online gambling site because it mainly exists to supply its data to universities for academic research, one of the main reasons the U. Those heavily favored to be Trump states have (less than 15% change of Biden win on FiveThirtyEight) are actually less favored to go for Trump on PredictIt. 1 min read 7th Dec 2020 2 answers No comments. 1. Most sports betting sites offer lucrative promos to their customers such as no deposit bonus and so does PredictIt. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). And just like in Las Vegas for the NFL Championship, there will be plenty of proposition wagering available. The PredictIt website offers armchair political pundits a way to make some pocket change by placing small wagers on election outcomes and the actions of politicians. Today's most actual and recent Forex Forecasts. Even while it lasts, PredictIt is not perfect; an $850-per-contract betting limit imposed by regulation means that long-shots are systematically overvalued on PredictIt. No Bitcoin support. 85. “This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in the insights they provide. Windy is a prediction platform that allows users to make predictions on a. PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Jennings revealed that the election event has. 2: The media pundits. PredictItBy Jacob Stern. 01:26 John Aristotle Phillips: It sounds like a lot. 1. Additionally, the site charges a 5% fee to withdraw money. I've never done sports betting before, but want to make a bet on one of the PredictIt politics elections (I view this as a way of hedging. The really confident ones can put their money where their mouths are — literally — on political market sites like PredictIt. Among forecasters, Nate Silver has the best track record. Forecastr. Who will win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election? Find out the latest odds and trends on PredictIt, the stock market for politics. If each party holds 50 seats after the 2022 election, Democrats will control the Senate. The CFTC ordered the political gambling platform to cease operations by next Feb. GOP 2024 presidential nominee. Although there are many config variables, defaults should be enough. Which seems harsh, considering they let other scams like crypto, National Collector's Mint coins, and Tesla keep operatingPrediction markets have gained currency over the last 15 years as a tool to enable crowdsourced insights into the future. C. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. org alternatives Like 0 electionbettingodds. PredictIt’s Arizona forecast was similar. Analyze any website or app. The site has become a mainstay in virtually all election discussions, alongside political projections from sites like FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics. Everything has been going well since. Free Bet Offers : Predictions for 100+ Leagues : Latest Results by League and Team : Up to Date League Tables : Statistics for 3000+ teams. Steve Bittenbender. PredictIt: . # 108,710 6,054. A twitter rando with little identifying information is taking credit (edit: account just went private after complaining of harassment from Predictit users so tweet is unlinkable now, was@tnim__), claiming he lobbied for it as an act of revenge for Predictit banning him years ago. Saved Stories. No. 6%: $882,927. PredictIt currently charges a 10% fee on profits made by buying and selling shares to cover the site's operating costs, and there is an $850 limit on how much of any one contract a person can hold. Far and away the most popular market on PredictIt sees the current governor of Florida, DeSantis, favored over the former president at the equivalent of a +144 price (to Trump’s +194). 5,646. 9, 2022, in US Federal. A PredictIt review that explains how it works, what types of markets are offered and how to wager on political events at this legal betting site. S. But PredictIt also allows for those with inside knowledge of future. PredictIt Alternatives TradeFair. But, nested under their “Sports” categories is an obscure sport called “Politics”! One of the markets here is in fact the same one on PredictIt: “Trump Exit Date”. 4. org. predictions_1 = predictit. S. Aristotle is the contract service provider for the PredictIt Market, which has operated under No-Action Relief CFTC 14-130 since 2014. These are just two examples of the larger narrative, which is that betting markets have continued to. AD Users are able to bet on events, such as 2024 nominations for president and whether marijuana becomes federally rescheduled this year, using bank deposits or a credit card, but PredictIt also accepts cryptocurrency. It captured GOP strength in key states that almost all mainstream pollsters. After betting big on the past two presidential. Join PredictIt today. 202-543-8345. Candidate. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. I only estimated betting market prices for nine candidates who had robust markets at both exchanges. 55% of desktop visits last month, and Organic Search is the 2nd with 6. Automatically choose best models (ARIMA, regressions, MLP, LSTM. District Court for the Western District of Texas asking the Commodity. Instead, they had just revoked a no-action letter, even though that no-action letter was effectively ensuring that the CFTC would not go after the site, and its removal seemed like a foregone conclusion that the site would run afoul of the regulator at some point down the road. So the site will only charge us $0. Mehmet Oz This is a highly contentious race for a seat being vacated by Republican Pat Toomey that, like in Georgia, sees a Donald Trump-endorsed celebrity candidate. The turned to PredictIt because it allowed them to place wagers that were a touch more niche than standard bookmakers offered, but now the site is shutting down and will be missed by those s. ". In early 2015, PredictIt saw about 2 million total shares traded. Predictit. Currently, PredictIt is fighting in court after the CFTC rescinded permission to operate several of its betting lines. PredictItCloud Era Prediction Markets: policy and public interest prediction markets like PredictIt gained traction in the early 2010’s, presumably in the advent of the cloud, along with sci-fi markets like SciCast. Login. org Brags and Beats. 2024 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker. Regarding the variety in markets offered, Kalshi definitely stands out for offering a wider range of markets for users to participate in. Like Wright in Texas, Carey has made a significant effort to play up his connections to Trump, and his endorsement. They will give you a match of 100% of your initial deposit up to 80 when you use BESTODDS coupon code. Accepts American customers. New research shows that the best way to improve overall predictive accuracy is by aggregating the forecasts from the best forecasters in a group. Betting against the house on politics in the U. While the case is still ongoing, the latest action still represents a major milestone in the legal battle between the CFTC and PredictIt. com is the website with the highest similarity score to predictit. Produced by ElevenLabs and NOA, News Over Audio, using AI narration. A maximum of $850 in betting per person per contract ( not per market) A substantial house cut of 10% on profits and 5% on withdrawals. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. Market the benefits of 'PredictIt' and why it is better than our competitors. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than. Per PredictIt’s no-action letter, PredictIt users cannot make more than $850 in any position. This prevents a handful of wealthy individuals from putting down thousands of. Santos didn’t just like watching the demigods who inhabited that world; he had dreams of that kind of fame for himself. How to Buy Large Amounts of Bitcoin. The site, launched in 2014 as a sort of educational. Shares of Democratic candidate. Number of elections simulated each hour. Founder & CEO John Aristotle Phillips. By Danny Funt. Project 2. Just as companies like Robinhood and DraftKings have capitalized on the gamification of day trading and dearth of entertainment while millions found themselves stuck at home and in need of a distraction from the pandemic, PredictIt has benefited from an unprecedented election cycle. Bet sizes are limited. Commodity Futures Trading. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Site has approval of government officials. PredictIt remains highly regulated and constrained by the terms of its agreement with the CFTC: Users can’t trade more than $850 on an individual bet, and there can be no more than 5,000 traders. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. Predictit 's alternatives and competitors. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022. com, Dr. That's exactly correct. A federal court is allowing PredictIt to keep its political futures markets online while it pursues litigation against a federal agency trying to shut the site down. What makes Lemmy one of the best alternatives is its versatility. Business Services · District of Columbia, United States · <25 Employees. Visit PredictIt Insight to learn from the wisdom of the crowd and make smarter bets on the future. 205 Pennsylvania Avenue SE. View election betting odds for those candidates and more below. Whether it is U. Shares can be. PredictItPredictIt Political Analysis is a blog that offers insights and commentary on the latest trends and events in politics and prediction markets. Two of the sites that Election Betting Odds pulls from — Betfair and Smarkets — showed DeSantis holding a substantial lead over Trump, with the Florida governor coming in at 27 percent to 27. T. PredictIt is a betting exchange, like a stock market. This makes the site a valuable resource. Judge Stuart Duncan penned the majority opinion, with Judge James Ho. So, bettors could lose a major election betting market after the 2022 midterms. track the election with a red/blue map of the us updated daily using the latest state polls. Miller prefers using data from the PredictIt exchange because it provides data on all Electoral College markets and limits each bet to $850. If I don't get my favorable outcome, at least I'll make some money. 12K subscribers in the Augur community. PredictIt is hoping its 2024 election night goes much smoother than it did on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. com. Here is a look at the odds to win US President in 2024. Political betting site fights regulators. after being granted a No-Action Letter by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 69 for Republicans to winThe Commodity Futures Trading Commission has ordered that PredictIt, a popular political betting site, shut down by mid-February 2023. predict(data=np. PredictItPredictIt is a platform where you can make predictions on political events and trade shares based on their outcomes. electoral-vote. PredictItFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis is now the frontrunner on PredictIt for both the Republican nomination and to win the presidency in 2024. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has revoked a letter it sent last year to PredictIt organizers that vacated its. As of January 3, 11. Feb/11/2023. The goal of this project is to develop a tool that can be used to. The only such market of any size in the U. [laughter] Alright, so PredictIt is what’s called a prediction market. It's like a candy store for political and pop culture enthusiasts. 12 for Democrats to win, . Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. ” PredictIt lets everyone see what everyday Americans, rather than just “experts,” think about future political events, without filtering those opinions through potentially biased pollsters. Unless the odds are exactly 50%, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The site slightly favors Clinton to win North Carolina, while giving an edge to Trump in Florida. PredictIt told its U. datatable). Low $850 cap on maximum position in a contract. Industry. Profit. The various markets — PredictIt, the Iowa market, overseas markets like Betfair in Britain and predecessors like the Irish sites Intrade and Tradesports — have had plenty of glitches through. It has been described as one of two legal ways to bet on elections in the United States. The Biggest Horse Race, IV Trump Indicted EditionPredictIt takes a certain percentage of any gains when contracts are sold or settled & takes a percentage of money withdrawn from the site & that is their source of revenues. It was the leading platform for individuals to bet on the. ” PredictIt, the political. The plaintiffs in the PredictIt case have obtained an injunction to keep the site up and running temporarily. “Florida legislator asks if a site like @PredictIt would be illegal in the state under Compact. "The most heeded futurists these days are not individuals, but prediction markets, where the informed guesswork of many is consolidated into hard probabilities. One of the highest courts in the country agrees that in 2014 PredictIt was issued a. org for free in terms of their online performance: traffic sources, organic keywords, search rankings, authority, and much more. You face numerous challenges and risks—some you. I saw the post calling for us to fix the market inefficiency on predictit. org in July 2023 are ranked by their affinity to predictit. Your global no limit betting exchange. Today’s top 5 Predictit jobs in United States. txt. According to Nate Silver’s site, this election is still close to a tossup, whereas the wagering on PredictIt suggests it’s all but decided. Like Miller, many of the top speculators on PredictIt are political junkies who win money with a mix of savvy and speed. PredictItLibrary/framework for making predictions. 3 million shares traded on Wednesday morning, according to PredictIt. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. No. Find out why - Click here to Analyze all competitors Not only is it largely unenforceable, but, particularly on sites like PredictIt that have an academic purpose, one of the very reasons prediction markets are of interest to researchers is because their prices reflect not only public information but also “scattered private information held by traders. . electoral-vote. Crypto Briefing spoke with Will Jennings, head of public engagement for PredictIt, to learn more. On the 2022 campaign trail he once joked in a previously unreported tape. QAnon—the conspiracy theory that elite Democrats, government officials, and celebrities are part of a cannibalistic, child-sex-trafficking cult, and Donald Trump. PredictIt was told to shutter in the U. We like to assume that markets are efficient because if not, there's an opportunity for arbitrage, but for betting markets, this just isn't true. It sounds like fun, but is it all sunshine and roses? We have the answers in our. ) are legal. 4% Traffic Share. However, it was the only serious site that received a regulatory waiver. Donald Trump is +150, and Michelle Obama is +1600. com is the website with the highest similarity score to predictit. Betting Prediction Markets Practical. In addition, you can join various forums to have discussions with like-minded folks. PredictIt— Here's the deal: more than 100,000 people are now betting on politics through the website PredictIt. Get the full predictit. PredictIt, a market that built its name by letting Americans bet on who will be elected to Congress or the next president, has lost its legal authority to. 27. Low $850 cap on maximum position in a contract. 3%: $882,928. Yes! Presidential prediction markets – and all prediction markets across most industries (i. Since the. Visualize trends, 3D orbitals, isotopes, and mix compounds. [4] The market was initially launched on 3 November 2014. Discover the full list of predictit. Search similar titlesPredictIt. At the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting today the Federal Reserve said that it was keeping short-term. S. PredictIt has made the following announcement in response to the withdrawal: The security of trader funds will not be affected by this action. package health package health 47/100 47/100. Link Copied! The US government is trying to shut down PredictIt, a website that allows gambling on US elections. Ways to buyJOHN ARISTOTLE PHILLIPS: It's like a stock market, but for politics. This is a US-centric piece based on…PredictIt Quiet. PredictIt is closing due to CFTC changing its mind. You can buy and sell shares of real-world events and earn money if your predictions are correct. Users can purchase shares of an outcome, like buying "Yes" or "No" shares of whether or not the Farm Bill will pass by June 30. Click Now.